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Topic #43

Job Replacements

What Jobs Will be Taken Over by Computers?

In 2013, the Oxford scientists Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne, published a probability that 47% of all professions will be taken over by computers in Two Decades.

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Source: Oxford - The_Future_of_Employment.pdf

The table below is from the list. It ranks occupations according to their probability of computerization.

Bookkeeping

99% of all Tax Preparers 99% of all Account Clerks 98% of all Bookkeeping Clerks 98% of all Credit Analysts

Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne were right.

Today, bookkeeping is automated.

For these jobs, computers are much more affordable than people.


Sales And Customers

99% of all Telemarketers 97% of all Cashiers 94% of all Door-to-Door Salesmen 92% of all Insurance Sales Agents 85% of all Sales Representatives 58% of all Financial Advisors 55% of all Customer Service 54% of all Sales Agents

They were right.

Web shopping is taking over.

Conversion rates for telephone sales are not very attractive.


Production Workers

98% of all Packaging Machine Operators 95% of all Print Binding and Finishing Workers 93% of all Industrial Truck Operators 92% of all Production Workers 87% of all Food Preparation Workers

Assembly line robots has been around for 50 years.

Today, smart robots can be programmed by anyone to do anything.

Robots are replacing jobs at Amazon:


Read and Write

99% of all Data Entry Keyers 84% of all Proofreaders 65% of all Librarians 54% of all Film and Video Editors

Proofreading software is everywhere. From spell check to the Hemingway App.


Bartenders

81% of all Fast Food Cooks 77% of all Bartenders 77% of all Dishwashers

Coffee robots can replace many baristas.

5 Best Robot Coffee Baristas 2020

Robotic Bartenders on Quantum of the Seas - Royal Caribbean:


Postal Services

95% of all Postal Service Clerks 79% of all Mail Sorters 75% of all Postmasters 68% of all Mail Carriers


Airplane Pilots

55% of all Pilots

The military uses drones today.

Tomorrow AI will replace the pilots of cargo planes.

Passenger planes will have only one pilot. The second pilot will be an autopilot.


Drivers. Transportation Jobs

69% of all Taxi Drivers 69% of all Truck Drivers 67% of all Bus Drivers

Self-driving cars is already a reality.

The potential of jobs lost is staggering.

Very soon AI could replace millions of transportation jobs.


Robots could take 20 million jobs by 2030

According to a study from Oxford Economics (2019), there could be 14 million robots working in China by 2030.

Job Losses

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